Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E3: Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
/ / / E32: Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:

1. Estimated DSGE Models
2. Dynamic Factor Models
3. Real Business Cycle Theory
4. Labor in RBC models
5. International RBC

2025

• Mishel Ghassibe & Anton Nakov, 2025, "Business Cycles with Pricing Cascades," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 1525, Oct.
• Joshua Kimani, 2025, "Green Fiscal Policies and Their Role in Promoting Sustainable Development," Journal of Environment, CARI Journals Limited, volume 5, issue 3, pages 1-13.
• Andrea Foschi & Christopher L. House & Christian Proebsting & Linda L. Tesar, 2025, "Should I Stay or Should I Go? The Response of Labor Migration to Economic Shocks," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, volume 56, issue 1 (Spring, pages 67-137.
• Hanno Kase & Leonardo Melosi & Matthias Rottner, 2025, "Estimating nonlinear heterogeneous agent models with neural networks," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 1241, Jan.
• Matthias Kaldorf & Matthias Rottner, 2025, "Climate Minsky moments and endogenous financial crises," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 1248, Mar.
• Douglas Kiarelly Godoy de Araujo & Fernando Linardi & Luis Vissotto, 2025, "Supply chain transmission of climate-related physical risks," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 1260, Apr.
• Pierre L Siklos & Dora Xia & Hongyi Chen, 2025, "R* in East Asia: business, financial cycles, and spillovers," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 1285, Aug.
• Torsten Ehlers & Jon Frost & Carlos Madeira & Ilhyock Shim, 2025, "Macroeconomic impact of weather disasters: a global and sectoral analysis," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 1292, Sep.
• Hanno Kase & Matthias Rottner & Fabio Stohler, 2025, "Generative economic modeling," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 1312, Dec.
• Daniel Levy & Haipeng (Allan) Chen & Sourav Ray & Elliot Charette & Xiao Ling & Weihong Zhao & Mark Bergen & Avichai Snir, 2025, "Asymmetric price adjustment over the business cy," Working Papers, Bar-Ilan University, Department of Economics, number 2025-03, Jan.
• Alexander Eliseev, 2025, "Nowcasting Russian GDP in a Mixed-Frequency DSGE Model with a Panel of Non-Modelled Variables," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, volume 84, issue 3, pages 63-93, September.
• Ilya Zverev & Nadezhda Kislyak, 2025, "Estimating the Output Gap of the Russian Economy: A Multivariate Approach Based on BVAR and the Beveridge-Nelson Filter," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, volume 84, issue 4, pages 22-46, December.
• Alexander Eliseev, 2025, "Nowcasting Russian GDP in a mixed-frequency DSGE model with a panel of non-modelled variables," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series, Bank of Russia, number wps145, Feb.
• Denis Krylov & Nikita Pakhmutov, 2025, "Synchronisation of business cycles in Russia and China," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series, Bank of Russia, number wps150, May.
• Woo Suk Lee & Eunseong Ma, 2025, "Housing market connectedness and transmission of monetary policy," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, volume 63, issue 3, pages 961-984, July, DOI: 10.1111/ecin.13292.
• Yunjong Eo & Denny Lie, 2025, "Changes in the Inflation Target and the Comovement Between Inflation and the Nominal Interest Rate," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, volume 101, issue 332, pages 3-40, March, DOI: 10.1111/1475-4932.12853.
• Dan Andrews & Elif Bahar & Jonathan Hambur, 2025, "The Effects of COVID‐19 and JobKeeper on Productivity‐Enhancing Reallocation in Australia," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, volume 101, issue 333, pages 142-168, June, DOI: 10.1111/1475-4932.12856.
• Luke Hartigan & Tom Rosewall, 2025, "Nowcasting Quarterly GDP Growth During the COVID‐19 Crisis Using a Monthly Activity Indicator," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, volume 101, issue 335, pages 456-484, December, DOI: 10.1111/1475-4932.70000.
• Daniel L. Greenwald & John Krainer & Pascal Paul, 2025, "The Credit Line Channel," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, volume 80, issue 6, pages 3137-3183, December, DOI: 10.1111/jofi.13486.
• Gunnar Bårdsen & Ragnar Nymoen, 2025, "U.S. Wage‐Price Dynamics, Before, During and After COVID‐19, Through the Lens of an Empirical Econometric Model," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, volume 87, issue 6, pages 1122-1145, December, DOI: 10.1111/obes.12686.
• Monique Reid & Pierre Siklos, 2025, "Firm‐Level Expectations and Macroeconomic Conditions: Underpinnings and Disagreement," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, volume 93, issue 2, pages 203-218, June, DOI: 10.1111/saje.12393.
• CORDUNEANU Alexandru, 2025, "Between Innovation And Waiting: Entrepreneurial Calculation And The Temporal Logic Of The "Austrian" Cycle," Revista Economica, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, volume 77, issue 3, pages 7-21, December, DOI: 10.56043/reveco-2025-0021.
• Luca Gambetti & Dimitris Korobilis & John D. & Francesco Zanetti, 2025, "Agreed and Disagreed Uncertainty," Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School, number No 02/2025, Feb.
• Dimitris Korobilis, 2025, "Learning from crises: A new class of time-varying parameter VARs with observable adaptation," Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School, number No 09/2025, Dec.
• Tom Doan, 2025, "LAUBACH_WILLIAMS_RESTAT2003: RATS program to replicate Laubach-Williams multivariate state-space model with regressors," Statistical Software Components, Boston College Department of Economics, number RTZ00214, revised .
• Tom Doan, 2025, "KILIAN_AER2009: RATS program to replicate Kilian(2009)'s VAR analysis of oil market/macro data," Statistical Software Components, Boston College Department of Economics, number RTZ00226, revised .
• Pablo Guerron-Quintana & James M. Nason, 2025, "Bayesian estimation of DSGE models: An update," Boston College Working Papers in Economics, Boston College Department of Economics, number 1097, Sep.
• Thibaut Duprey & Artur Kotlicki & Daniel Rigobon & Philip Schnattinger, 2025, "Bouncing back: how mothballing curbs prices," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series, Bank of England, number 1112, Jan.
• Davide Brignone & Luca Gambetti & Martino Ricci, 2025, "Geopolitical risk shocks: when size matters," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series, Bank of England, number 1118, Feb.
• Davide Brignone & Marco Mazzali, 2025, "It is all about demand and supply: a dualistic view of the euro area business cycle," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series, Bank of England, number 1124, Apr.
• Nobuhiro Abe & Yuto Ishikuro & Koki Nakayama & Yutaro Takano, 2025, "Interest Rate Pass-through by U.S. Banks: Macro Implications of Bank Competition," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series, Bank of Japan, number 25-E-9, Sep.
• Cristiano Cantore & Haroon Mumtaz & Filippo Ferroni & Angeliki Theophilopoulou, 2025, "A tail of labor supply and a tale of monetary policy," Working Papers, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna, number wp1210, Sep.
• Fabio Franceschini, 2025, "The Innovation Long-Run Risk Component," Working Papers, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna, number wp1215, Nov.
• Christian Bayer & Alexander Kriwoluzky & Gernot J. Müller & Fabian Seyrich, 2025, "Being and Consciousness: Fiscal Attitudes according to HANK," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany, number crctr224_2024_694, Jul.
• Christian Bayer & Luis Calderon & Moritz Kuhn, 2025, "Distributional Dynamics," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany, number crctr224_2025_625, Jan.
• Jan Schymik & Matthias Meier & Alexander Schramm & Alexander Schwemmer, 2025, "Capital (Mis)allocation, Incentives and Productivity," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany, number crctr224_2025_637, Jan.
• Niklas Garnadt & Lena Füner & Konrad Stahl & Joacim Tag, 2025, "Successful Entrepreneurs Come From the Top of the Earned Income Distribution," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany, number crctr224_2025_693, Jun.
• Toshihiko Mukoyama & Kanato Nakakuni & Makoto Nirei, 2025, "Propagation of Export Shocks: The Great Recession in Japan," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany, number crctr224_2025_711, Nov.
• Lin Shuheng & Pérez Francisca, 2025, "Do Firm-Level Shocks Generate Aggregate Fluctuations? A Cross-Country Analysis," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, volume 25, issue 1, pages 45-79, DOI: 10.1515/bejm-2024-0017.
• Albanese Marina & Busato Francesco & Cisco Gianluigi, 2025, "Green Transition, Skills Heterogeneity, and Inequality," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, volume 25, issue 2, pages 499-551, DOI: 10.1515/bejm-2023-0159.
• Brennan Connor M. & Jacobson Margaret M. & Matthes Christian & Walker Todd B., 2025, "Monetary Policy Shocks: Data or Methods?," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, volume 25, issue 2, pages 595-659, DOI: 10.1515/bejm-2024-0175.
• Lee Seungyoon & Park Jongwook, 2025, "Business Cycles, Monetary Policy Stance, and Monetary Policy Transmission in Korea," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, volume 25, issue 2, pages 799-824, DOI: 10.1515/bejm-2024-0127.
• Lim King Yoong & Liu Chunping & Tan Linzhi, 2025, "Loan Loss Provision, Unsecured-Collateralized Loan Choice and Macro-Stability in China," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, volume 25, issue 2, pages 847-884, DOI: 10.1515/bejm-2025-0101.
• Lee Seungyoon, 2025, "Price Stickiness, Input–Output Linkages, and Monetary Policy Transmission in Korea," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, volume 25, issue 2, pages 885-915, DOI: 10.1515/bejm-2024-0172.
• Yépez Carlos A., 2025, "Firm Dynamics, Informality, and Monetary Policy," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, volume 25, issue 2, pages 951-978, DOI: 10.1515/bejm-2025-0024.
• Gupta Rangan & Sun Xiaojin, 2025, "Time-Varying Parameter Four-Equation DSGE Model," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 29, issue 2, pages 235-246, DOI: 10.1515/snde-2023-0010.
• Dufrénot Gilles & Ginn William & Pourroy Marc & Sullivan Adam, 2025, "Does State Dependence Matter in Relation to Oil Price Shocks on Global Economic Conditions?," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 29, issue 2, pages 247-264, DOI: 10.1515/snde-2023-0018.
• Bilbiie, F. O. & Galaasen, S. M. & Gurkaynak, R. S. & Maehlum, M. & Molnar, K, 2025, "Hanksson," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 2516, Mar.
• Basihos, S., 2025, "The Granular Role of Mergers and Acquisitions in Aggregate Fluctuations," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 2560, Aug.
• Chadha, J. S. & Corrado, G. & Corrado, L. & Buratta, I. D. L., 2025, "The Role of Macroprudential Policy in Times of Trouble," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 2561, Sep.
• Bilbiie, F. O. & Hanks, F. & Lavender, S., 2025, "Complementarity, Heterogeneity, and Multipliers: Utility for HANK," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 2573, Oct.
• Hashmat Khan & Sergio Lago Alves, 2025, "Are New Keynesian Models Useful When Trend Inflation is Not Very Low?," Carleton Economic Papers, Carleton University, Department of Economics, number 25-01, Feb.
• Rubio, Margarita & Yao, Fang, 2025, "The Conduct of LTV Policy under Inflationary Shocks," Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland, number 1/RT/25, Feb.
• Mugrabi, Farah & Rünstler, Gerhard, 2025, "Housing and Credit Cycles in Ireland," Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland, number 16/RT/25, Oct.
• Bro de Comères, Quentin & Mugrabi, Farah & Lyons, Paul, 2025, "A Quick Stress Testing Methodology for Irish Banks," Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland, number 17/RT/25, Oct.
• Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Xu, Yongdeng, 2025, "Why Applied Macroeconomists Should Not Use Bayesian Estimation of DSGE Models," Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, number E2025/22, Nov.
• Minford, Patrick & Ou, Zhirong & Zhu, Zheyi, 2025, "Is there PPP in the data? New evidence from a structural DSGE model," Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, number E2025/6, Mar.
• Mauro Sayar Ferreira & Berto Carvalho da Silva Jr, 2025, "Fiscal multiplier in Brazil: the role played by controls," Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG, Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, number 684, Sep.
• Ryan Hanson & Ana María Herrera, 2025, "The Effect of Oil News Shocks on Job Creation and Destruction," Working Papers, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau, number 25-06, Jan.
• Melanie Arntz & Michael J. Bohm & Georg Graetz & Terry Gregory & Florian Lehmer & Cacilia Lipowski, 2025, "Firm-level technology adoption in times of crisis," CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE, number dp2093, Apr.
• Alena Bicakova & Guido Matias Cortes & Kelly Foley & Jacopo Mazza & Peter McHenry, 2025, "Unpacking the Countercyclicality of Post-Secondary Enrollment in the United States," CERGE-EI Working Papers, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague, number wp795, May.
• Marlon Azinovic-Yang & Jan Zemlicka, 2025, "Deep Learning in the Sequence Space," CERGE-EI Working Papers, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague, number wp802, Oct.
• Masashige Hamano & Philip Schnattinger & Mototsugu Shintani & Iichiro Uesugi & Francesco Zanetti, 2025, "Credit Market Tightness and Zombie Firms: Theory and Evidence," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11640.
• Carlos Carrillo-Tudela & Fraser Summerfield & Ludo Visschers, 2025, "Workers’ Task and Employer Mobility over the Business Cycle," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11660.
• Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Yiliang Li & Le Xu & Francesco Zanetti, 2025, "Charting the Uncharted: The (Un)Intended Consequences of Oil Sanctions and Dark Shipping," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11684.
• Melanie Arntz & Michael Böhm & Georg Graetz & Terry Gregory & Florian Lehmer & Cäcilia Lipowski & Cäcilia vom Baur, 2025, "Firm-Level Technology Adoption in Times of Crisis," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11825.
• Efrem Castelnuovo & Giovanni Pellegrino & Laust L. Særkjær, 2025, "The Inflation Uncertainty Amplifier," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11853.
• Galo Nuño, 2025, "Three Theories of Natural Rate Dynamics," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11878.
• Fabio Milani, 2025, "Inflation Tolerance Bands and Private Sector Beliefs," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11910.
• Anastasiia Antonova & Luis Huxel & Mykhailo Matvieiev & Gernot J. Muller & Gernot Müller, 2025, "The Propagation of Tariff Shocks via Production Networks," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11917.
• António Afonso & José Alves & Frederico Silva Leal, 2025, "Government Scale as a Stabilizer: Effects on Output Volatility and Losses," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11993.
• Marc Dordal i Carreras & Seung Joo Lee, 2025, "Higher-Order Forward Guidance," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12034.
• Fabio Milani, 2025, "Inflation, Monetary Policy, and Capital-Labor Inequality," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12065.
• Michael Alexeev & William Pyle & Jiaan Wang, 2025, "Russian Society, Democratic Values, and the Legacy of the Early-1990s Economic Shock," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12095.
• Siavash Mohades & Giulia Piccillo & Maria Savona & Tania Treibich, 2025, "Firms’ Investment and Capacity Utilisation: The Role of Financial Constraints and Uncertainty," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12108.
• Fabio Milani, 2025, "Monetary Policy, Heterogeneous Expectations, and the Return of High Inflation," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12123.
• Fabio Milani, 2025, "Expectations, Learning Gains, and Forecast Errors: Assessing Nonlinearities with a Functional Coefficient Approach," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12124.
• Anastasiia Antonova & Gernot Müller, 2025, "Distorted Prices and Targeted Taxes in the New Keynesian Network Model," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12144.
• Paula Patzelt, 2025, "Renewable Energy Supply Shocks from Wind Electricity," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12146.
• Robert Fairlie & Frank M. Fossen & Ke Lyu & Robert W. Fairlie, 2025, "A Tale of Two Startups: The Loss and Gain of Startups in the U.S. Economy in the Pandemic," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12163.
• Sebastian Blesse & Klaus Gründler & Philipp Heil & Henning Hermes, 2025, "The Demand for Economic Narratives," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12204.
• Lukas Hack & Davud Rostam-Afschar, 2025, "Which Macroeconomic News Matters for Price-Setting?," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12215.
• Efrem Castelnuovo & Giovanni Pellegrino & Laust L. Særkjær, 2025, "Monetary Policy Shocks and Narrative Restrictions: Rules Matter," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12246.
• Maximilian Boeck & Zeno Enders & Michael Kleemann & Gernot Müller, 2025, "Dancing in the Dark: Sentiment Shocks and Economic Activity," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12252.
• Santiago Alvarez-Blaser & Raphael Auer & Sarah M. Lein & Andrei A. Levchenko & Raphael A. Auer & Sarah Marit Lein, 2025, "The Granular Origins of Inflation," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12262.
• Jonas Dovern & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2025, "The Causal Effects of Trump's Reelection on Business Expectations of German Firms," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12266.
• Julien Grenet & Hans Grönqvist & Edvin Hertegård & Martin Nybom & Jan Stuhler, 2025, "How Early Career Choices Adjust to Economic Crises," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12307.
• Masashige Hamano & Philip Schnattinger & Mototsugu Shintani & Iichiro Uesugi & Francesco Zanetti, 2025, "Credit Market Tightness and Zombie Firms: Theory and Evidence," CARF F-Series, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo, number CARF-F-597, Jan.
• Uluc Aysun & Sewon Hur & Zeynep Yom, 2025, "Technology creation and monetary transmission," Working Papers, University of Central Florida, Department of Economics, number 2025-02, Apr.
• Masashige Hamano & Philip Schnattinger & Mototsugu Shintani & Iichiro Uesugi & Francesco Zanetti, 2025, "Credit Market Tightness and Zombie Firms: Theory and Evidence," Discussion Papers, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), number 2504, Jan.
• Li Li & Xiangyang Li & Steven Ongena & Yabin Wang, 2025, "Extreme Rainfall and Municipal Financing: Risk Pricing and Adaptive Mitigation by Sponge Cities," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series, Swiss Finance Institute, number 25-25, Mar.
• Julien Martin & Kevin Moran & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2025, "Impacts macroéconomiques d’une guerre tarifaire Canada–États-Unis," CIRANO Papers, CIRANO, number 2025pr-03, Mar.
• Julien Martin & Kevin Moran & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2025, "Macroeconomic Impacts of a Canada-U.S. Tariff War," CIRANO Papers, CIRANO, number 2025pr-04, Mar.
• Kevin Moran & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2025, "Chocs macroéconomiques et finances publiques au Canada et au Québec," CIRANO Project Reports, CIRANO, number 2025rp-29, Dec.
• Martín Almuzara & Manuel Arellano & Richard Blundell & Stéphane Bonhomme, 2025, "Nonlinear Micro Income Processes with Macro Shocks," Working Papers, CEMFI, number wp2025_2515, Aug.
• Dante Amengual & Gabriele Fiorentini & Enrique Sentana, 2025, "Testing shock independence in Gaussian structural VARs," Working Papers, CEMFI, number wp2025_2532, Dec.
• Volha Audzei & Jan Bruha & Ivan Sutoris, 2025, "Does Firms' Financing in Foreign Currency Matter for Monetary Policy?," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2025/10, Jun.
• Jan Janku & Simona Malovana & Josef Bajzik & Klara Moravcova & Ngoc Anh Ngo, 2025, "Credit Shocks Fade, Output Shocks Persist: A Meta-Analysis of 2,600 VAR Estimates Across 63 Countries," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2025/12, Sep.
• Francesco Zanetti & Masashige Hamano & Philip Schnattinger & Mototsugu Shintani & Iichiro Uesugi, 2025, "Credit Market Tightness and Zombie Firms: Theory and Evidence," CIGS Working Paper Series, The Canon Institute for Global Studies, number 25-005E, Jan.
• Francesco Zanetti & Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Yiliang Li & Le Xu, 2025, "Charting the Uncharted: The (Un)Intended Consaequences of Oil Sanctions and Dark Shipping," CIGS Working Paper Series, The Canon Institute for Global Studies, number 25-009E, Feb.
• Tomohiro Hirano & Joseph E. Stiglitz, 2025, "Growth and Fluctuations Economies with Land Speculation," CIGS Working Paper Series, The Canon Institute for Global Studies, number 25-012E, Mar.
• Juan Jos√© Rinc√≥n Brice√±o, 2025, "Colombian economic activity nowcasting: addressing nonlinearities and high dimensionality through machine-learning," Documentos CEDE, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE, number 21388, Jun.
• Richard Jaimes Bonilla & Javier Esteban Martínez, 2025, "Age Structure and Monetary Policy Transmission: Conventional vs. Unconventional Shocks in the Euro Area," Vniversitas Económica, Universidad Javeriana - Bogotá, volume 25, issue 2, pages 1-35, June.
• Rodolfo Moisés Espinosa Tigre & Elías Alvarado Lagunas & Juan Bautista Solís Muñoz, 2025, "Gender differences in access to financing for microenterprises in Morona Canton, Ecuador," Revista Tendencias, Universidad de Narino, volume 26, issue 02, pages 84-106, July, DOI: 10.22267/rtend.2526.
• Robert Barro & Francesco Bianchi & Carlos Giraldo & Iader Giraldo-Salazar, 2025, "Inflation as a Fiscal Phenomenon: Evidence from Latin America," Documentos de trabajo, FLAR, number 021801, Nov.
• Carlos Giraldo & Iader Giraldo-Salazar & Jose E. Gomez-Gonzalez & Jorge M Uribe, 2025, "Government Debt Expansion and Bank Capitalization: The Conditioning Role of Institutional Quality," Documentos de trabajo, FLAR, number 021931, Dec.
• Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2025, "Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions," LIDAM Reprints CORE, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE), number 3331, Jan, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2.
• Kevin Moran & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2025, "Risk Scenarios and Macroeconomic Impacts: Insights for Canadian Policy," Canadian Public Policy, University of Toronto Press, volume 51, issue 3, pages 344-362, September, DOI: 10.3138/cpp.2024-021.
• Bayer, Christian & Kuhn, Moritz & Calderon, Luis, 2025, "Distributional Dynamics," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 19829, Jan.
• Alvarez-Blaser, Santiago & Auer, Raphael & Lein, Sarah & Levchenko, Andrei, 2025, "The granular origins of inflation," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 19844, Jan.
• Le Grand, François & Ragot, Xavier & Rodrigues, Diego, 2025, "The Welfare of Nations: Social Preferences and the Macroeconomy," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 19847, Jan.
• Hamano, Masashige & Schnattinger, Philip & Shintani, Mototsugu & Uesugi, Iichiro & Zanetti, Francesco, 2025, "Credit Market Tightness and Zombie Firms: Theory and Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 19863, Jan.
• Poilly, Céline & Tripier, Fabien, 2025, "Regional Trade Policy Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 19906, Feb.
• Ä°pek, Mahmut Sefa & KısacıkoÄŸlu, Burçin, 2025, "Estimating Euro Area Output Gap Dynamics: Evidence from the updated Area-Wide Model Database," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 19913, Feb.
• Berardi, Nicoletta & Ravenna, Federico & Samano, Mario, 2025, "Everyday Regular Prices in a Multi-Product Retailer," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 19921, Feb.
• Ravenna, Federico & Walsh, Carl, 2025, "Inclusive Monetary Policy in a Model with Heterogeneous Workers," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 19922, Feb.
• Jarocinski, Marek & Karadi, Peter, 2025, "Disentangling Monetary Policy, Central Bank Information, and Fed Response to News Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 19923, Feb.
• Gambetti, Luca & Korobilis, Dimitris & Tsoukalas, John & Zanetti, Francesco, 2025, "Agreed and Disagreed Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 19946, Feb.
• Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús & Li, Yiliang & Xu, Le & Zanetti, Francesco, 2025, "Charting the Uncharted: The (Un)Intended Consequences of Oil Sanctions and Dark Shipping," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20009, Mar.
• Braggion, Fabio & Floccari, Giuseppe & Kvaerner, Jens, 2025, "The Passthrough of the Business Cycle to Labor Income," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20074, Mar.
• Bilbiie, Florin & Galaasen, Sigurd & Gürkaynak, Refet & Maehlum, Mathis & Molnar, Krisztina, 2025, "Hanksson," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20090, Mar.
• Ricco, Giovanni & Savini, Emanuele, 2025, "Decomposing Monetary Policy Surprises: Shock, Information, and Policy Rule Revision," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20166, Apr.
• Hoffmann, Mathias & Moench, Emanuel & Pavlova, Lora & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2025, "A KISS for Central Bank Communication in Times of High Inflation," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20213, May.
• Adrian, Tobias & Giannone, Domenico & Luciani, Matteo & West, Mike, 2025, "Scenario Synthesis and Macroeconomic Risk," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20219, May.
• Basco, Sergi & Rosés, Joan R., 2025, "Pandemics, Capital Allocation and Structural Change," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20232, May.
• Forbes, Kristin & Ha, Jongrim & Kose, M. Ayhan, 2025, "Tradeoffs over Rate Cycles: Activity, Inflation and the Price Level," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20240, May.
• Antonova, Anastasiia & Huxel, Luis & Matvieiev, Mykhailo & Müller, Gernot, 2025, "The Propagation of Tariff Shocks via Production Networks," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20305, May.
• Li, Xiang & Ongena, Steven, 2025, "Global Banks’ Macroeconomic Expectations and Credit Supply," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20342, Jun.
• Broer, Tobias & Kramer, John & Mitman, Kurt, 2025, "The Distributional Effects of Oil Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20345, Jun.
• Känzig, Diego, 2025, "The Unequal Economic Consequences of Carbon Pricing," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20405, Jul.
• Rachel, Å ukasz & Ravn, Morten, 2025, "Brothers in Arms: Monetary-Fiscal Interactions Without Ricardian Equivalence," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20445, Jul.
• Bayer, Christian & Kriwoluzky, Alexander & Müller, Gernot & Seyrich, Fabian, 2025, "Being and Consciousness: Fiscal Attitudes according to HANK," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20473, Jul.
• Känzig, Diego & Konradt, Maximilian & Wang, Lixing & Zhang, Donghai, 2025, "Green Business Cycles," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20475, Jul.
• Balatti, Mirco & Kose, M. Ayhan & Mckinnon, Kate Frances & Palombo, Edoardo & Sugawara, Naotaka & Verduzco-Bustos, Guillermo & Vorisek, Dana, 2025, "From Tailwinds to Headwinds: Emerging and Developing Economies in the Twenty-First Century," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20558, Aug.
• Brochet, Sophie & Mueller, Hannes & Rauh, Christopher, 2025, "Uncovering Economic Policy Uncertainty During Conflict," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20560, Aug.
• Ghassibe, Mishel & Nakov, Anton, 2025, "Business Cycles with Pricing Cascades," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20605, Sep.
• Degryse, Hans & De Jonghe, Olivier & Laeven, Luc & Zhao, Tong, 2025, "Collateral and Credit," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20639, Sep.
• Marcellino, Massimiliano & Tornese, Tommaso, 2025, "An Empirical Investigation of the Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on the Italian Economy," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20661, Sep.
• Caballero, Ricardo & Simsek, Alp, 2025, "FCI-Plot: Central Bank Communication Through Financial Conditions," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20680, Sep.
• Lewis, Vivien & Puangjit, Sirikorn, 2025, "A Simple Model of Geopolitical Risk and Sanctions," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20724, Oct.
• Blesse, Sebastian & Gruendler, Klaus & Heil, Philipp & Hermes, Henning, 2025, "The Demand for Economic Narratives," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20759, Oct.
• DeBonis, Riccardo & Liberati, Danilo & Muellbauer, John & Rondinelli, Concetta, 2025, "Why Net Worth is the Wrong Concept for Explaining Consumption: Evidence from Italy," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20766, Oct.
• Gazzani, Andrea & Martinez, Joseba & Natoli, Filippo & Surico, Paolo, 2025, "The Public Origins of American Innovation," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20788, Oct.
• Bilbiie, Florin & Hanks, Fergal & Lavender, Sean, 2025, "Complementarity, Heterogeneity, and Multipliers: Utility for HANK," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20804, Nov.
• Dew-Becker, Ian & Giglio, Stefano & Molavi, Pooya, 2025, "Learning and the Emergence of Nonlinearity in Financial Markets," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20923, Dec.
• Amengual, Dante & Fiorentini, Gabriele & Sentana, Enrique, 2025, "Testing Shock Independence in Gaussian Structural VARs," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20975, Dec.
• Winberry, Thomas & Auclert, Adrien & Rognlie, Matthew & Straub, Ludwig, 2025, "New Keynesian Economics with Household and Firm Heterogeneity," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20976, Dec.
• Tore Dubbert & Adrian Schroeder, 2025, "Conditioning business and financial cycles on multivariate information," CQE Working Papers, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster, number 11225, Jun.
• Julien Grenet & Hans Grönqvist & Edvin Hertegård & Martin Nybom & Jan Stuhler, 2025, "How Early Career Choices Adjust to Economic Crises," RFBerlin Discussion Paper Series, ROCKWOOL Foundation Berlin (RFBerlin), number 25149, Dec.
• Moritz Kuhn & Iourii Manovskii & Xincheng Qiu, 2025, "The Geography of Job Creation and Job Destruction," RFBerlin Discussion Paper Series, ROCKWOOL Foundation Berlin (RFBerlin), number 2596, Nov.
• Alloza, Mario & Gonzalo, Jesús & Sanz, Carlos, 2025, "Dynamic effects of persistent shocks," UC3M Working papers. Economics, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía, number 45381, Jan.
• Carrillo-Tudela, Carlos & Summerfield, Fraser & Visschers, Lodewijk Pieter, 2025, "Workers' task and employer mobility over the business cycle," UC3M Working papers. Economics, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía, number 46534, Apr.
• Serhan Cevik & Sadhna Naik, 2025, "Feeling Rich, Feeling Poor: Housing Wealth Effects and Consumption in Europe," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, volume 26, issue 1, pages 361-375, May.
• Julian A. Parra-Polania & Carmina O. Vargas, 2025, "Debt Taxes During Crises, a Blessing in Disguise?," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, volume 26, issue 2, pages 707-730, November.
• Gomes, Sandra & Jacquinot, Pascal & Lozej, Matija, 2025, "A single monetary policy for heterogeneous labour markets: the case of the euro area," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, volume 29, issue , pages 1-1, January.
• Barrette, Christophe & Paquet, Alain, 2025, "Shocking the economy from 1967 up to 2023: reinforcing the relevance of Divisia money in US monetary policy," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, volume 29, issue , pages 1-1, January.
• Jaimes, Richard, 2025, "The dynamic effects of environmental and fiscal policy shocks," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, volume 29, issue , pages 1-1, January.
• Lee, Kevin & Shields, Kalvinder & Turnip, Guido, 2025, "Shock persistence, uncertainty, and news-driven business cycles," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, volume 29, issue , pages 1-1, January.
• Okano, Eiji & Inagaki, Kazuyuki, 2025, "Understanding the gains from wage flexibility in a currency union: a fiscal policy connection," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, volume 29, issue , pages 1-1, January.
• Helanya Fourie, 2025, "30-Year macroeconomic overview of South Africa (Sentiment and Investment)," Research Notes, Bureau for Economic Research Impumelelo Growth Lab, number 202506, Oct.
• Alexandre Dmitriev & Qiaoxian He, 2025, "The Role of Composite Habits in Asset Prices and Business Cycles: A Bayesian Approach," Working Papers, University of Auckland, Economic Policy Center (EPC), number 024, Oct.
• Dragomir Stefanov & Yana Stoencheva & Petar Ivanov, 2025, "Developing An Equilibrium Model For Assessing House Price Deviation," Business Management, D. A. Tsenov Academy of Economics, Svishtov, Bulgaria, issue 3 Year 20, pages 69-86.
• Martin Gornig & Laura Pagenhardt, 2025, "Turnaround in Sight for the Construction Industry; Political Pressure for Action Is Nonetheless Increasing," DIW Weekly Report, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, volume 15, issue 1/2, pages 3-14.
• Geraldine Dany-Knedlik & Guido Baldi & Nina Maria Brehl & Hella Engerer & Angelina Hackmann & Pia Hüttl & Konstantin A. Kholodilin & Frederik Kurcz & Laura Pagenhardt & Jan-Christopher Scherer & Teres, 2025, "Policy Changes Leaving Marks on the Economy," DIW Weekly Report, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, volume 15, issue 10/11, pages 63-75.
• Geraldine Dany-Knedlik & Guido Baldi & Nina Maria Brehl & Hella Engerer & Angelina Hackmann & Konstantin A. Kholodilin & Frederik Kurcz & Laura Pagenhardt & Jan-Christopher Scherer & Teresa Schildmann, 2025, "Tariff Chaos Overshadowing the Global Economy; Fiscal Package Bolstering the German Economy," DIW Weekly Report, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, volume 15, issue 22-24, pages 129-140.
• Geraldine Dany-Knedlik & Guido Baldi & Nina Maria Brehl & Hella Engerer & Angelina Hackmann & Konstantin A. Kholodilin & Frederik Kurcz & Laura Pagenhardt & Jan-Christopher Scherer & Teresa Schildmann, 2025, "German Economy Poised for Upturn Thanks to Fiscal Package; Uncertainties in the Global Economy," DIW Weekly Report, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, volume 15, issue 36, pages 213-231.
• Geraldine Dany-Knedlik & Guido Baldi & Nina Maria Brehl & Hella Engerer & Angelina Hackmann & Konstantin A. Kholodilin & Frederik Kurcz & Laura Pagenhardt & Jan-Christopher Scherer & Teresa Schildmann, 2025, "German Economy in the Starting Blocks—Global Economy Holds Its Own," DIW Weekly Report, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, volume 15, issue 50, pages 349-363.
• Konstantin A. Kholodilin & Malte Rieth, 2025, "Real Estate Market Remains Tense – Rents and Apartment Prices Are Rising," DIW Weekly Report, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, volume 15, issue 51/52, pages 367-375.
• Christian Danne & Martin Gornig & Laura Pagenhardt, 2025, "Trendwende in der Bauwirtschaft in Sicht – politischer Handlungsdruck nimmt dennoch zu," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, volume 92, issue 1/2, pages 3-14.
• Geraldine Dany-Knedlik & Guido Baldi & Nina Maria Brehl & Hella Engerer & Angelina Hackmann & Pia Hüttl & Konstantin A. Kholodilin & Frederik Kurcz & Laura Pagenhardt & Jan-Christopher Scherer & Teres, 2025, "DIW-Konjunkturprognose: Politische Richtungswechsel werden Spuren hinterlassen," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, volume 92, issue 11, pages 153-172.
• Geraldine Dany-Knedlik & Guido Baldi & Nina Maria Brehl & Hella Engerer & Angelina Hackmann & Konstantin A. Kholodilin & Frederik Kurcz & Laura Pagenhardt & Jan-Christopher Scherer & Teresa Schildmann, 2025, "Zollchaos überschattet Weltwirtschaft – Finanzpaket stützt deutsche Konjunktur," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, volume 92, issue 24, pages 349-385.
• Geraldine Dany-Knedlik & Guido Baldi & Nina Maria Brehl & Hella Engerer & Angelina Hackmann & Konstantin A. Kholodilin & Frederik Kurcz & Laura Pagenhardt & Jan-Christopher Scherer & Teresa Schildmann, 2025, "Deutsche Konjunktur dank Finanzpaket vor Aufschwung – Unsicherheiten in der Weltwirtschaft," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, volume 92, issue 36, pages 561-580.
• Geraldine Dany-Knedlik & Guido Baldi & Nina Maria Brehl & Hella Engerer & Angelina Hackmann & Konstantin A. Kholodilin & Frederik Kurcz & Laura Pagenhardt & Jan-Christopher Scherer & Teresa Schildmann, 2025, "Deutsche Wirtschaft in den Startlöchern – Weltwirtschaft behauptet sich," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, volume 92, issue 50, pages 805-839.
• Konstantin A. Kholodilin & Malte Rieth, 2025, "Immobilienmarkt bleibt angespannt – Mieten und Wohnungspreise steigen," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, volume 92, issue 51/52, pages 853-862.
• Christian Bayer & Alexander Kriwoluzky & Gernot J. Müller & Fabian Seyrich, 2025, "Being and Consciousness: Fiscal Attitudes according to HANK," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, number 2132.
• Pablo Gluzmann & Leopoldo Tornarolli & Cecilia Velázquez, 2025, "El Ciclo Económico: Una Pieza en el Rompecabezas de los Jóvenes que Ni Estudian Ni Trabajan en América Latina," CEDLAS, Working Papers, CEDLAS, Universidad Nacional de La Plata, number 0357, Oct.
• Fulvia Marotta & Maria Sole Pagliari & Jasper de Winter, 2025, "Commitment vs Credibility: Macroeconomic Effects of Climate Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers, DNB, number 840, Sep.
• Jean-Guillaume Sahuc & Frank Smets & Gauthier Vermandel, 2025, "The New Keynesian Climate Model," EconomiX Working Papers, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX, number 2025-1.
• Jean-Guillaume Sahuc & Loick Dubois & Gauthier Vermandel, 2025, "A General Equilibrium Approach to Carbon Permit Banking," EconomiX Working Papers, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX, number 2025-5.
• Nabil Daher, 2025, "Is growth at risk from natural disasters ? Evidence from quantile local projections," EconomiX Working Papers, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX, number 2025-9.
• Höynck, Christian & Roma, Moreno & Schlieker, Kathinka, 2025, "Developments in the recent euro area house price cycle," Economic Bulletin Articles, European Central Bank, volume 2.
• Bokan, Nikola & Jacquinot, Pascal & Lalik, Magdalena & Müller, Georg & Priftis, Romanos & Rigato, Rodolfo, 2025, "Macroeconomic impacts of higher defence spending: a model-based assessment," Economic Bulletin Articles, European Central Bank, volume 6.
• Battistini, Niccolò & Gareis, Johannes, 2025, "Manufacturing versus services: how frontloading and uncertainty shaped recent developments," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, volume 6.
• Karadi, Peter & Nakov, Anton & Nuño, Galo & Pasten, Ernesto & Thaler, Dominik, 2025, "Why monetary policy should crack down harder during high inflation," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, volume 130.
• Kochen, Federico, 2025, "Equity financing in a banking crisis: evidence from private firms," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 3008, Jan.
• Kundu, Shohini & Vats, Nishant, 2025, "Banking networks and economic growth: from idiosyncratic shocks to aggregate fluctuations," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 3019, Feb.
• Steininger, Lea & Matzner, Anna, 2025, "Monetary policy and the firm-level labor share: a story about capital," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 3024, Feb.
• Jaccard, Ivan & Kockerols, Thore & Schüler, Yves, 2025, "Green and brown returns in a production economy," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 3030, Feb.
• Sun, Yiqiao & de Bondt, Gabe, 2025, "Enhancing GDP nowcasts with ChatGPT: a novel application of PMI news releases," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 3063, Jun.
• Karadi, Peter & Nakov, Anton & Nuño, Galo & Pasten, Ernesto & Thaler, Dominik, 2025, "Strike while the iron is hot – optimal monetary policy under state-dependent pricing," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 3068, Jul.
• Asriyan, Vladimir & Laeven, Luc & Martin, Alberto & Van der Ghote, Alejandro & Vanasco, Victoria, 2025, "Falling interest rates and credit reallocation: lessons from general equilibrium," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 3070, Jul.
• Gnocato, Nicolò & Montes-Galdón, Carlos & Stamato, Giovanni, 2025, "Tariffs across the supply chain," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 3081, Jul.
• Popov, Alexander & Pestova, Anna, 2025, "Back to school when times are bad? The role of housing wealth," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 3083, Jul.
• Degryse, Hans & De Jonghe, Olivier & Laeven, Luc & Zhao, Tong, 2025, "Collateral and credit," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 3095, Aug.